Public Perceptions of Climate Variability and its Impact on Measles Outbreak in Kano State, Nigeria

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.56919/usci.2434.026

Keywords:

Perceptions, Variability, Climate, Measles , Kano

Abstract

Study’s Excerpt

  • Although similar studies have been previously conducted to assess the community perceptions on the linkages between measles occurrence and climate variability in Kano State, Nigeria however, this study is the first of its kind to involve stakeholders and entire households in Kano State.
  • This study indicated that temperature variability influences the outbreak of measles to some extent, especially during hot/dry seasons, while rainfall variability does not directly link to the outbreak of the disease in the research area.
  • The findings could help in localized public health interventions and climate-adaptive strategies in the region.

Full Abstract

Climate variation affects the rate of measles occurrence.  High temperatures in a congested environment, for instance, positively influence the outbreak of the disease.  This consequently resulted in a high rate of disease occurrence and the livelihood of the community at large.  The current research assessed public perception of the impact of climate variability on the occurrence of measles in Kano State.  Data on people’s perceptions was obtained using a questionnaire and key informant interviews.  In addition, raw data for the variables was also obtained for regression analysis.  Seven hundred and eighty-four (784) structured copies of the questionnaire were administered, and five (5) key informants’ members were selected for qualitative data.  The obtained data were analysed using descriptive, inferential statistics, and thematic framework, and the results were presented using charts and tables.  Results showed that the majority (75.7%) and 49.3 of the respondents were of the view that temperature and rainfall, respectively, are increasing in the area, while the majority (43.6%) were of the view that humidity has been on the decrease.  The results show that 63.2% considered temperature to be positively related to measles, while 46.9% being of the view that an increase in rainfall does not lead to higher cases of measles.  Results from regression analysis revealed R2 values during hot/dry (0.075), this was followed by cold/dry with 0.03.  However, it was just around 0.013 during warm/wet, which indicated that temperature and rainfall affect the outbreak of measles at lower degrees.  Based on these, it is concluded that, not everywhere and at all times climate variability influences the occurrence of measles in Kano State.  It was recommended that several strategies, such as planting of vegetation and public campaigns, should be increased in the area.

Author Biographies

Ahmad Hamza Abdullahi, Department of Geography and Environmental Management, Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria, Nigeria

Lecturer I, Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria-Nigeria 

AbdulHakim Wagini Hassan, Department of Geography and Environmental Management, Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria, Nigeria

Student, Department of Geography and Environmental Management, Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria-Nigeria 

Jibril Haruna Umar, Department of Environmental Management, Kaduna State University, Kaduna, Nigeria

Assistant Lecturer, Department of Environmental Management, Kaduna State University, Kaduna 

Rabi'u Abdullahi, Environmental Science Laboratory, Bauchi State Environmental Protection Agency (BASEPA), Bauchi, Nigeria

Head of Environmental Science Laboratory, Bauchi State Environmental Protection Agency (BASEPA) 

Benshima Isaac Ityonum, Department of Social and Environmental Forestry, Joseph Sarwuan Tarka University Makurdi, Benue, Nigeria

Assistant Lecturer, Department of Social and Environmental Forestry JOSEPH SARWUAN TARKA UNIVERSITY MAKURDI 

References

Abaje, I.B., Achiebo, P.I. and Matazu, M.B. (2018). Spatio-temporal analysis of rainfall distribution in Kaduna State, Nigeria. Ghana Journal of Geography, 10(1): 1-21

Abdullahi, A. H., Hassan, M. B., Kanoma, M. S. and Yunusa Y. (2023a). Geo-Spatial Assessment of the Influence of Temperature and Rainfall on the Occurrence of Cholera in Kano State, Nigeria. FUDMA Journal of Sciences (FJS) 7(5): 198 – 205. https://doi.org/10.33003/fjs8-2023-0705-989

Abdullahi, A. H., Sawa, B. A. and Saleh, M. (2023b). An Assessment of the Influence of Climate Variability on the Occurrence of Meningitis in Kano State, Nigeria. Sahel Journal of Geography, Environment & Development, 4(1):1-8. www.saheljournalofgeography.com.ng

Addisu, S., Selassie, Y.G., Fissha G. and Gedif, B. (2015). Time series trend analysis of temperature and rainfall in lake Tana Sub-basin, Ethiopia, Environmental System Research, 4(25):1-12. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40068-015-0051-0

Agada, I.O., Agada, P. O. and Fila, G. T. (2018). Variability of Relative Humidity and Air Temperature in Kano and Port Harcourt, Nigeria. FUW Trends in Science & Technology Journal, 2 (2): 905 – 909

Akinbobola, A. and Hamisu, A. S. (2018). Predicting Measles Occurrence Using Some Weather Variables in Kano, North western Nigeria. American Journal of Public Health Research, 6 (4): 195-202. Doi: 10.12691/ajphr-6-4-4. https://doi.org/10.12691/ajphr-6-4-4

Jonathan, J., Ivoke, N., Aguzie, I. and Nwani, C. (2018). Effects of climate change on malaria morbidity and mortality in Taraba State, Nigeria. African Zoology. 53, 119-126. https://doi.org/10.1080/15627020.2018.1520146

Kamruzzaman, A.K.M., Jahan, M.S., Rahman, M.R. and Khatun, M.M. (2015). Impact of climate change on the outbreak of infectious diseases among children in Bangladesh. American Journal of Public Health Resource, 3:1-7. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajhr.20150301.11

Krejcie, R.V. and Morgan's, D.W. (1970). Determining sample size for research activities, Educational and Psychological Measurement, 30: 607-610. https://doi.org/10.1177/001316447003000308

Maini, R., Clarke, L., Blanchard, K., and Murray, V. (2017). The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction and its indicators Where does health fit in? Int. J. Disaster Risk Science,8:150-155. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-017-0120-2

Morand, S., Owers, K.A., Waret-Szkuta, A., McIntyre, K.M. and Baylis, M. (2013). Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe. Scientific Reports, 3(1774): 1-6. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep01774

Moss, W.J. and Griffin, D.E. (2012). Measles. Lancet, 379:153-164; PMID: 21855993; http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(10)62352-5

Nabegu, A.B. (2014). Analysis of Vulnerability to Food Disaster in Kano State, Nigeria. Greener Journal of Physical Sciences, 4: 22-29.

Newman's, J. F. (2001). Population Projection for Research and Development. Retrieved from http://www.educationforallindia.com/New%20population-projection.pdf,21/07/2019

NPC (National Population Commission) (1991). Census Report, Federal Republic of Nigeria. Analytical Result Report at the National Level. NPC Abuja- Nigeria.

Okonko, I. O., Nkang, A. O., Udeze, A. O., Adedeji, A. O., Ejembi, J., Onoja, B. A., Ogun, A. A. and Garba, K. N. (2009). Global eradication of measles: A highly contagious and vaccine preventable disease-what went wrong in Africa? Journal of Cell and Animal Biology, 3(8):119-140.

Olofin, E.A. (2008). "The Physical Setting". In Olofin, E. A., Nabegu, A. B. and Dambazau, A.M. (edited). Wudil within Kano Region: a geographical synthesis. Published by Adamu Joji Publishers on behalf of The Department of Geography, Kano University of Science and Technology, Wudil, 5-34.

Omonijo, A.G., Matzarakis, A., Oguntoke, O. and Adeofun, C.O. (2012). Effect of thermal environment on the temporal, spatial and seasonal occurrence of measles in Ondo State, Nigeria. International Journal of Biometeorol, 56:873-885. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-011-0492-8

Orsoo, O., Saw, Y.M., Sereenen, E., Yadamsuren, B., Byambaa, A., Kariya, T., Yamamoto, E. and Hamajima, N. (2019). Epidemiological characteristics and trends of a nationwide measles outbreak in Mongolia, 2015-2016, Public Health, 19(201): 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-019-6511-0

Panda, A. and Sahu, N. (2019). Trend analysis of seasonal rainfall and temperature pattern in Kalahandi, Bolangir and Koraput districts of Odisha, India, Atmospheric Science,20: e932. https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.932

Qiongying, Y., Chuanxi, F., Naizhen, W., Zhiqiang, D., Wensui, H. and Ming, W. (2014). The effects of weather conditions on measles incidence in Guangzhou, Southern China. Human Vaccines and Immunotherapeutics, 10(4):1104-1110. https://doi.org/10.4161/hv.27826

Research and Documentation Directorate (2009). About Kano, in Kurawa I.A (Eds): A publication of Kano State Government.

Tomson, M. C., Mason, S. J., Munoz, A., Nissan, H. and Ceccato, P. (2018). Climate information for public health action: an interdisciplinary approach. AGUFM, PA33E-119

Waitsa, A., Emelyanovab, A., Oksanenc, A., Abassa, K. and Rautio, A. (2018). Human infectious diseases and the changing climate in the Arctic, Environment International 121(1):703-713. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2018.09.042

Watts, N., Amann, M., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Belesova, K., Bouley, T., Boykoff, … (2018). The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: From 25 years of inaction to a global transformation for public health. Lancet, 391, 581-630. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32464-9

Weather Atlas (2020). Monthly weather forecast and climate, Kano, Nigeria. Accessed from http://www.nga.com/en/n on 25th August, 2020.

WHO Regional Office for Europe (2018). Public Health and Climate Change Adaptation Policies in the European Union, downloaded on 14 July, 2019 from https://www.euro.who.int/data/assets/pdf_file/0010/386965/Pagoda-REPORT- final-published-2.pdf

Yalwa, T.R. (2014). Assessment of Groundwater Potential for rural water supply in parts of Kano, State, Northern Nigeria, Unpublished Doctoral thesis, Department of Geography, Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria.

Yang, Q., Fu, C., Wang, N., Dong, Z., Hu, W. and Wang, M. (2014). The effects of weather conditions on measles incidence in Guangzhou, Southern China. Human Vaccines and Immunotherapeutics, 10(4):1104-1110. https://doi.org/10.4161/hv.27826

Downloads

Published

2024-11-19

How to Cite

Abdullahi, A. H., Ahmed, A., Hassan, A. W., Umar, J. H., Abdullahi, R., & Ityonum, B. I. (2024). Public Perceptions of Climate Variability and its Impact on Measles Outbreak in Kano State, Nigeria. UMYU Scientifica, 3(4), 321–329. https://doi.org/10.56919/usci.2434.026

Most read articles by the same author(s)